Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.543103 2.946556 3.402539 3.957895 4.618469 5.382067 6.335925
2025-02-16 1.945401 2.470378 3.129086 4.024404 5.222059 6.786481 9.013661
2025-02-23 1.639297 2.210569 2.978783 4.103591 5.735882 8.061353 11.703524
2025-03-02 1.397430 1.974200 2.792931 4.064642 6.035476 9.050795 14.167268
2025-03-09 1.245082 1.831000 2.702714 4.128947 6.472729 10.297965 17.286737
2025-03-16 1.102315 1.676983 2.566799 4.089212 6.722131 11.271497 20.153675
2025-03-23 0.991052 1.554216 2.458141 4.068875 6.988463 12.308264 23.367221
2025-03-30 0.888120 1.430424 2.328907 3.988947 7.127630 13.129507 26.349717
2025-04-06 0.825327 1.364705 2.286863 4.053393 7.538731 14.539863 30.912291
2025-04-13 0.747234 1.263230 2.169152 3.958900 7.621708 15.300788 34.229946
2025-04-20 0.713046 1.234823 2.177864 4.105259 8.213453 17.249561 40.898551
2025-04-27 0.665358 1.176416 2.123574 4.117533 8.522334 18.632704 46.559180
2025-05-04 0.625596 1.135832 2.112417 4.248505 9.192625 21.197116 56.837293
2025-05-11 0.579924 1.080266 2.068364 4.312277 9.751692 23.725149 68.382724
2025-05-18 0.542301 1.035076 2.037713 4.398328 10.383514 26.636289 82.552772
2025-05-25 0.498137 0.970907 1.957977 4.356171 10.681589 28.727396 95.093085
2025-06-01 0.468112 0.932248 1.927440 4.425745 11.294063 31.942585 113.541689
2025-06-08 0.433115 0.878763 1.856659 4.382753 11.586028 34.277138 129.984412
2025-06-15 0.403386 0.833304 1.798060 4.360751 11.936004 36.933141 149.532177
2025-06-22 0.372715 0.782346 1.720125 4.274291 12.073749 38.924751 167.466907
2025-06-29 0.354336 0.757239 1.700613 4.344002 12.721387 43.007999 198.722976
2025-07-06 0.328155 0.711285 1.624484 4.241793 12.787285 44.929964 220.171015
2025-07-13 0.317807 0.701544 1.637506 4.400115 13.779303 50.958661 270.311118